The Bigger The Trough

…..the larger their snouts…..

The US auto companies didn’t quite get the warm political reception they’d hoped for as part of their grubbing for US25 billion. Given that all 3 claim to be on the verge of bankruptcy, it didn’t help their case that the CEOs arrived in private jets. In mitigation, General Motors is returning 3 of its leased jets while promising greater use of video conferencing…..

Oh, and being asked by politicians to spell out exactly why they need capital, what they intend to do with it, over what time frame and what kind of returns to expect, was hardly a surprise. Any SME, whether looking for factoring funds, seed capital, mezzanine financing, venture capital or a bank loan would be asked exactly the same questions. What gave the auto companies’ CEOs the temerity to think they’d be exempt from the basic criteria of accountability?

Probably the fact that to date neither the US Federal Reserve nor the Treasury will disclose exactly what securities they have accepted as part of the now scrapped “cash for trash” deal that was the original TARP. The new plan to directly take equity in the banks (and potentially anyone else) has already been derided as incipient nationalization and crony capitalism. Oversight provisions as to how the government funds will be dealt with once injected, are non-existent, other than a bland assumption that the funds will be deployed for lending.

Meanwhile, according to Calculated Risk, as of 21 November 2008, 22 US banks have failed this year – so far. In fairness, some banks in the US, particularly those that stayed well away from the financially engineered toxic debt instruments, are doing just fine and are happy to continue and extend lines of credit to well managed commercial clients.

And the boys at Citigroup – whose share price is now that of an enhanced penny stock - are working overtime negotiating a government bailout or a sell off (of their lucrative credit card business, the Smith Barney brokerage, or their recently appointed CEO Vikram Pandit who announced jobs cuts totalling 82,000).

The joys of being an international conglomerate like Citigroup, allow for a degree of self-righteousness flatly denied to private companies: Citi is too big too fail and must be “saved” to end the hysteria; as a US company operating all over the world overseas governments should help bail it out; Citi is a victim of short sellers whose stock price has a reached a level that necessitates government intervention by way of cash injection, absorption of bad loans and an assisted merger.

Um… OK… government intervention for whose benefit? The shareholders or the financial system?

© 2008 Sanjeev Aaron Williams All Rights Reserved

Suck My Cash

It’s either gone surreal or we’ve entered the realms of financial pornography.

So far, at least 23 American banks signed up to fellate the US Treasury-demanded cash injections from the US$250 Billion intended to prop up the banks by buying stock in them and to encourage lending.

Well, that was the theory anyway.

The bottom line is that the onward lending to the floundering consumer and the anxious business owners isn’t happening.

In the last 24 hours, the US Treasury Secretary announced that TARP (the acronym for the program to purchase toxic assets from banks) isn’t working and has been shelved. Instead, the US Treasury will directly purchase shares in banks.

Or, apparently anyone else that needs money......like the big 3 US automakers lining up for US25 billion on the basis that as legacy companies they are too important to fail…..American Express looking at massive credit card defaults and a major purveyor of securitized credit card instruments, now imploding, has become a “bank holding company” in the same way as Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs, with greater access to federal funding.

But the real figures are likely to be mind-boggling. Forbes.com in an article entitled, “Washington’s $5 Trillion Tab”, dated 12 November 2008 cites data from CreditSights in an attempt to itemize where the money is going.

But what are we actually witnessing? For starters, a total lack of oversight as to where the money is going and a refusal to fully identify recipients of US Treasury largesse. Bloomberg's report of 10 November 2008 stated that the Federal Reserve was refusing to identify who was receiving US$2 Trillion dollars of loans courtesy of the American taxpayer or what securities the banks were pledging in return. Congressional oversight was allowed as part of the US700 Billion dollar TARP, but far more than this is being lent out in separate rescue programs that did not require congressional approval. Hardly surprising that Bloomberg filed federal legal proceedings in the US under the Freedom Of Information Act. And what else are we looking at? Crony capitalism, the evisceration of retirement savings and ultimately, a global increase in the retirement age.

© 2008 Sanjeev Aaron Williams All Rights Reserved