Saturday, January 26, 2008

False Positive

It’s one of the most ludicrous financial debacles to seep out of Europe – which only 2 days ago, was blaming the US sub-prime fiasco for the Earth’s financial ailments. The French Bank, Societe Generale, admitted that a junior trader responsible for betting on the European market’s future performance, racked up an unauthorized loss of US7.1 Billion on futures contracts.

In SocGen’s jargon, reported in the BBC’s online report for 25 January 2008, the trader had taken “massive fraudulent directional positions in 2007 and 2008 beyond his limited authority”. In other words, he was betting the bank’s capital that the European market would go up even though it was going south, hard.

What makes the whole thing so hilarious is not only SocGen’s abject lack of trader supervision, but just over a month ago, SocGen had to bail out one of its own Structured Investment Vehicles which was exposed to US sub-prime crap, to the tune of US4.3 Billion.

But it goes further than that. The US Fed claims that they had no knowledge of SocGen’s position when they cut interest rates this week (ahead of schedule) even though shortly after the fraud was discovered, SocGen sold massive amounts of futures contracts in a market that was sliding fast, which only amplified its own losses and that of the European markets generally.

The message for SMEs is clear: be careful who you laugh at. And just how good are your back room operations and internal supervision of cash flow? Often the directors of SMEs are so focused on marketing and bagging the next contract, they ignore the mundane administrative and supervisory aspects of Accounts Payable and Accounts Receivables only to take massive evasive emergency action when they least expect it. They blame everyone else, rather than accepting the blame for trusting the wrong people.

Next time a member of your staff says. “Everything’s under control”, be suspicious. Otherwise, like SocGen, your company may be the subject of an emergency cash call on shareholders and / or a rumoured takeover.

© 2008 Sanjeev Aaron Williams & Cashwerks All Rights Reserved

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