Saturday, June 07, 2008

What Lehman Did, You Can't

The Lehman Brothers saga in the US gets more interesting, although it’s unclear whether it’s a story in the making or simply rumour and innuendo attempting to create a story.

An online report by Randall W. Forsyth writing in Barron’s published on 4 June 2008, stated that less than 24 hours after the investment bank was reportedly mulling issuing US$3 – 4 Billion in common equity, it went into the market and bought back its shares.

The obvious question was asked: can a company be under-capitalized one moment, only to be over-capitalized the next? Not likely. Clearly something was going on. In certain situations where the stock price of a company is low and capital cannot be usefully employed for shareholder benefit, it might make sense to buy back the shares. The effect of a share buy-back is to stabilize or lift the share price. While that is what happened in LEH’s case, the stock still sits at its lowest level since August 2003.

SAW agrees with Forsyth’s view that it is arguable whether a share buy-back was the best thing to do, given that LEH’s Balance Sheet is purportedly riddled with (CDO-based?) assets of dubious value and limited liquidity. But, if, as it’s CEO is on record as saying, that LEH’s intention was to hurt those engaging in the short-selling of its shares, then a share buy-back using whatever liquidity a company has, would be a defensive move.

As a publicly listed company, LEH has the option of immediately going into the stock market and buying back its shares. They’re millions of them out there, they have an immediate market value and they’re liquid. Buying them back is a snap. If that’s what it takes to maintain a semblance of solvency and liquidity, so be it.

An SME faced with pressing liquidity and solvency issues as well as a Public Relations problem, does not have those quick options. As a private company, its shares are held by a handful of people, possibly a mix of family members venture capitalists or angel investors. There may be a Shareholder’s Agreement with rights and obligations, a mechanism covering notice of intention to buy back the shares, clauses covering how the shares are to be valued and an arbitration procedure if things get really ugly between a shareholder and the company.

Whilst it is possible for an SME to buy back its shares, it’ll take a while. Lehman still has billions of bucks worth of liquidity on its Balance Sheet and could afford to take an immediate bold move to spend some of that cash on a buy-back. The average SME with a looming cash flow problem, couldn’t do it. Either it has to deal with its Receivables properly, or tighten up on its debtors, or reduce the credit period currently extended to its customers, or get a bank loan (good luck with that, at the moment) or offer equity to outside investors.

Doing nothing will just erode shareholder value. And that opens another can of worms.

© 2008 Sanjeev Aaron Williams All Rights Reserved

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