Tuesday, November 06, 2007

The Teetering Of Icons

So Merrill Lynch took a beating on its “risk management” to sub-primes. According to the BBC website report of 30 October 2007, it was one of the first to re-package sub-prime housing debt as tradeable securities. Having recorded US7.9 Billion exposure to bad debt, its CEO left the building (suitably well compensated, of course).

And he’s not alone. Citigroup’s CEO also resigned, after having reported a 57% drop in quarterly profits and losses of between US8 Billion to US11 Billion in previously undisclosed losses (hello ??) attributable to a decrease in the value of its US55 Billion portfolio of sub-prime loans.

OK…first off, Citigroup is a huge group. Second, those are huge losses which would sink most other banks. Third, those are the currently disclosed losses on the sub-prime side. Fourth, given that there was a bubble in US real estate, what is Citigroup’s exposure to that sector?

It ain’t the end of the story. As Robert Peston, the BBC’s Business Editor said in his blog posting of 5 November 2007:

"Still, his exit [Citigroup’s CEO] will cause a frisson among senior bankers all over the world, because few of their organisations will escape unscathed from the problems in credit markets.

That said, Citi’s hit from sub-prime is spectacular. And it will cause widespread concern that other banks will be forced to disclose increased losses from their respective holdings of sub-prime, CDOs and the rest of the gilded rubbish…… "

© 2007 Sanjeev Aaron Williams & Cashwerks All Rights Reserved

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